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NYSE: NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Stock Forecast, Predictions & Price Target

OverviewForecast
EarningsRevenueDividendOwnership

Analyst price target for NCDL

Based on 5 analysts offering 12 month price targets for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp

Min Forecast
$14.00-2.78%
Avg Forecast
$16.10+11.81%
Max Forecast
$18.00+25%

Should I buy or sell NCDL stock?

Based on 5 analysts offering ratings for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.

Hold
Strong Buy
0 analysts 0%
Buy
1 analysts 20%
Hold
4 analysts 80%
Sell
0 analysts 0%
Strong Sell
0 analysts 0%
Although NCDL's forecast from analysts indicates a "Hold", our proven Zen Rating quant model rates NCDL as a "Sell". Stocks with a Zen Rating of Sell have had an average return of -4.50% per year. Learn More

Be the first to know when Wall Street analysts revise their NCDL stock forecasts and price targets.

NCDL stock forecasts by analyst

Analyst / FirmRatingActionPrice TargetUpside/DownsideDateAnalyst Color
lockedlocked$00.00+00.00%2025-11-05
lockedlocked$00.00+00.00%2025-11-05
lockedlocked$00.00+00.00%2025-10-14
lockedlocked$00.00+00.00%2025-07-16
lockedlocked$00.00+00.00%2025-06-24

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Forecast return on equity

Is NCDL forecast to generate an efficient return?

Company
8.72%
Industry
26.74%
Market
340.19%
NCDL's Return on Equity is... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast High Return on Equity Forecast

Forecast return on assets

Is NCDL forecast to generate an efficient return on assets?

Company
3.77%
Industry
5.97%
NCDL is forecast to generate... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Return on Assets vs Industry Forecast

NCDL earnings per share forecast

What is NCDL's earnings per share in the next 3 years based on estimates from 8 analysts?

Avg 1 year Forecast
$1.88-4.63%
Avg 2 year Forecast
$1.67-15.29%
Avg 3 year Forecast
$1.56-20.95%
NCDL's earnings are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast High Earnings Growth Forecast

NCDL revenue forecast

What is NCDL's revenue in the next 3 years based on estimates from 7 analysts?

Avg 1 year Forecast
$211.5M-1.57%
Avg 2 year Forecast
$186.2M-13.38%
Avg 3 year Forecast
$176.7M-17.77%
NCDL's revenue is forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast High Revenue Growth Forecast

NCDL earnings growth forecast

How is NCDL forecast to perform vs Asset Management companies and vs the US market?

Company
-7.14%
Industry
52.4%
Market
104.45%
NCDL's earnings are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Earnings Growth vs Industry Forecast
NCDL's earnings are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Earnings Growth vs Market Forecast
NCDL's earnings are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Earnings Growth vs Savings Rate Forecast

NCDL revenue growth forecast

How is NCDL forecast to perform vs Asset Management companies and vs the US market?

Company
-5.69%
Industry
-4.88%
Market
58.58%
NCDL's revenues are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Revenue Growth vs Industry Forecast
NCDL's revenues are forecast to... subscribe to Premium to read more.
Forecast Revenue Growth vs Market Forecast

NCDL vs Asset Management Stocks

TickerPricePrice TargetUp/downsideConsensus
NCDL$14.40$16.10+11.81%Hold
NOAH$10.08N/AN/A
FDUS$20.11$21.50+6.91%Buy
ALTI$5.14N/AN/A
SLRC$15.68$14.83-5.40%Strong Sell
View Top Asset Management Stocks

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Stock Forecast FAQ

Is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Stock a good buy in 2025, according to Wall Street analysts?

The consensus among 5 Wall Street analysts covering (NYSE: NCDL) stock is to Hold NCDL stock.

Out of 5 analysts, 0 (0%) are recommending NCDL as a Strong Buy, 1 (20%) are recommending NCDL as a Buy, 4 (80%) are recommending NCDL as a Hold, 0 (0%) are recommending NCDL as a Sell, and 0 (0%) are recommending NCDL as a Strong Sell.

If you're new to stock investing, here's how to buy Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending stock.

What is NCDL's earnings growth forecast for 2025-2027?

(NYSE: NCDL) Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's forecast annual earnings growth rate of -7.14% is not forecast to beat the US Asset Management industry's average forecast earnings growth rate of 52.4%, and while it is not forecast to beat the US market's average forecast earnings growth rate of 104.45%.

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's earnings in 2025 is $79,146,000.On average, 8 Wall Street analysts forecast NCDL's earnings for 2025 to be $92,788,418, with the lowest NCDL earnings forecast at $88,570,762, and the highest NCDL earnings forecast at $95,934,374. On average, 8 Wall Street analysts forecast NCDL's earnings for 2026 to be $82,412,195, with the lowest NCDL earnings forecast at $76,470,931, and the highest NCDL earnings forecast at $88,155,911.

In 2027, NCDL is forecast to generate $76,905,538 in earnings, with the lowest earnings forecast at $70,663,013 and the highest earnings forecast at $80,896,012.

What is NCDL's revenue growth forecast for 2025-2027?

(NYSE: NCDL) Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's forecast annual revenue growth rate of -5.69% is not forecast to beat the US Asset Management industry's average forecast revenue growth rate of -4.88%, and while it is not forecast to beat the US market's average forecast revenue growth rate of 58.58%.

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's revenue in 2025 is $214,900,000.On average, 7 Wall Street analysts forecast NCDL's revenue for 2025 to be $10,446,351,989, with the lowest NCDL revenue forecast at $9,988,533,896, and the highest NCDL revenue forecast at $10,805,395,951. On average, 7 Wall Street analysts forecast NCDL's revenue for 2026 to be $9,193,402,150, with the lowest NCDL revenue forecast at $8,631,377,350, and the highest NCDL revenue forecast at $9,679,370,869.

In 2027, NCDL is forecast to generate $8,727,682,127 in revenue, with the lowest revenue forecast at $8,146,890,242 and the highest revenue forecast at $9,240,319,862.

What is NCDL's forecast return on assets (ROA) for 2025-2027?

(NYSE: NCDL) forecast ROA is 3.77%, which is lower than the forecast US Asset Management industry average of 5.97%.

What is NCDL's Price Target?

According to 5 Wall Street analysts that have issued a 1 year NCDL price target, the average NCDL price target is $16.10, with the highest NCDL stock price forecast at $18.00 and the lowest NCDL stock price forecast at $14.00.

On average, Wall Street analysts predict that Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's share price could reach $16.10 by Nov 5, 2026. The average Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 11.81% from the current NCDL share price of $14.40.

What is NCDL's Earnings Per Share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027?

(NYSE: NCDL) Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending's current Earnings Per Share (EPS) is $1.97. On average, analysts forecast that NCDL's EPS will be $1.88 for 2025, with the lowest EPS forecast at $1.79, and the highest EPS forecast at $1.94. On average, analysts forecast that NCDL's EPS will be $1.67 for 2026, with the lowest EPS forecast at $1.55, and the highest EPS forecast at $1.79. In 2027, NCDL's EPS is forecast to hit $1.56 (min: $1.43, max: $1.64).

What is NCDL's forecast return on equity (ROE) for 2025-2027?

(NYSE: NCDL) forecast ROE is 8.72%, which is considered weak.
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