Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) is one of the leading names in 3D design and engineering software.
While its original claim to fame was AutoCAD, the business has undergone a significant expansion since — it now supports end-to-end workflows across architecture, construction, manufacturing, and the creative media sector.
Here’s what makes it interesting as we move toward the end of September — the stock, up some 22.27% since this time last year, is within striking distance of its all-time high (ATH).
If it manages to breach that level — and I believe it will, then there’s a strong case to be made for an extended rally.
How far away from that ATH are we? The stock would have to surge by roughly 5.8% — that’s a single catalyst away, and the next guaranteed catalyst that has the potential to push ADSK higher will occur in roughly two months, so now is a perfect time to get in early at a more attractive price.
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Sure, that’s an average for a period longer than two decades — but the stock has underperformed thus far in 2025. Autodesk shares are up 9.77% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis — even lagging behind the S&P 500’s 13.37% gain in the same timeframe.
Wall Street analysts certainly think we’re headed for greener pastures. The average price target for Autodesk currently sits at $362.36 — and it implies a 12.17% upside.
Here’s why I believe that ATH is going to be breached — the company has posted 9 earnings beats in a row. The year-over-year (YoY) growth in earnings per share (EPS) has been in the double digits in 7 of those quarters. In spite of this, we haven’t seen a corresponding increase in stock price — sooner or later, a reversal to the mean is bound to happen.
The last time the company held an earnings call was August 28. Since then, ADSK has rallied by 11.59% — so it’s not like the market is completely ignoring Autodesk’s positive results — things could be turning around in this regard. The next earnings call is due in mid-to-late November.
That last earnings call was quite promising — revenue grew at 17% YoY, billings grew by 36% YoY, and management raised guidance regarding all major metrics.
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Autodesk certainly has the funds to finance new high-margin opportunities — the stock ranks in the top 5% when it comes to Financials.
Our Artificial Intelligence rating uses a neural network trained on two decades of market data to identify likely outperformers. In this category, ADSK ranks in the top 7%.
While it isn’t as flashy, the stock’s Growth Component Grade rating, which is in the top 20%, is nothing to scoff at.
Lastly, there’s one hidden factor at play — and it might be the most significant one. Company insiders have been loading up on ADSK shares — 21.83% of the insider transactions within the past year have been stock purchases. This leads us to a top 7% placement with regard to Sentiment.
That’s not something you see every day — and it indicates that there’s a significant degree of bullishness on the part of key company personnel.
Waiting for the late November earnings call could prove costly. The stock is pressing against resistance and is close to a 52-week high, insiders are buying aggressively, and Autodesk is stacking fresh catalysts like the Patriots and Esri partnerships. The window to get in before the breakout may already be closing.
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